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Some of these are shaky limbs to go out on...  especially this day in age. It's one reason I quit following recruiting close and rarely seek out info on those guys (save a handful that I may be really interested in from time to time like a Ryan Williams type). The easy ones to peg though are the Terrion Arnold situations where they have an agent selected already... I don't recall a Bama guy every returning after it got to that point, and it was at that point over 2 weeks ago.