šŸ€ Thinking about how the roster will shape itself out for next season.

TerryP

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In case you were wonder, scholarships are limited to 13 for the men. By my count they were at 13 last season.

With Bolden graduating and Hawkins in the transfer portal they're at 11.

Kira's headed to the NBA: 10.

Herb and Petty have both entered the draft but I'm expecting Herb back (10) and here I'll go with the scenario of Petty leaving (9.) **

There are four currently committed: Miles, Ellis, Primo, and Bruner (now we're back to 13.)

Keon Ambrose-Hylton has signed. (14, +1)

** I've heard 99 had declared for the NBA draft. Declared, which is leaving out the number of seniors as well as those who are playing overseas. I don't know how many guys from overseason we'll see drafted, I've seen mock's where there were several early on. There are only 64 spots in the NBA.

I don't know what Petty is going to do. If he returns, they are two over the limit.

I've seen Luther Muhammad mentioned a few times. Is Oats going to continuing recruiting him? IF he commits, now they're three over.

We'll see some culling of the roster, no doubt. As many as three?
 
I feel that Reese may have hit a wall the last 8-10 games of the season and he became more of a liability than an asset. I think he may be told to look elsewhere.
You caught Oats eating his lunch in one of the last games of the season, didn't you? It's pretty bad when your caught on tape with your head coach calling you selfish.
 
So I am sure some of you guys are doing the math, but I really just can't. This article helps:


So, Quinerly and Shackleford are guards. Primo would be a 3rd guard.

Petty would be a guard, IF he comes back, and I don't think he will.

Keon Ellis will probably be a big guard.

THAT'S FOUR GUARDS (unless Petty comes back).

Herb Jones would be a wing, and I think he WILL come back.

Ambrose-Hylton will be a wing. Keon Ellis will be a wing. Gary and Rojas will be wings/bigs.

THAT'S BASICALLY FIVE WINGS

Javian Davis will be a big.

Alex Reese will be a big IF he returns - I hope he does.

Galin Smith would be a big. He worked hard but I don't see him on this team.

Jordan Bruner will be a big.

THAT IS THREE BIGS

So, that's 12 players, if am right and Petty (as well as Lewis, of course) don't come back and Smith transfers. IF Smith elects to stay, I have seen some writeups that Ellis could be a project - might he redshirt in that situation? And we would continue to recruit? OR be content at 13 now? And what would happen roster-wise if Galin Smith DIDN'T leave and Petty DID return??? Then we are at 14 and maybe Ellis does redshirt?

Thoughts?
 
Redshirt counts against the numbers so Ellis would have to gray shirt. Basically not be eligible to play this year and count against next years numbers. I guess if Oats keeps adding we know he expects Petty and others to be gone. No way he could have been satisfied with the results last year.
 

Over the last two weeks, the Alabama men’s basketball team has received commitments from four players and consequently surged up to the No. 15 recruiting class in the 247Sports Composite rankings. The latest player to make a pledge to head coach Nate Oats and his staff was Yale graduate transfer Jordan Bruner, giving the Crimson Tide five commitments.

But the recent recruiting frenzy, should the four commitments sign pen to paper, puts Alabama over the NCAA’s 13-player scholarship limit -- even with a pair of departures and players testing the NBA draft waters. Oats did say his 2020-21 roster will look ā€œsignificantly differentā€ from what he put on the court in Year 1, but there are decisions that still need to be made.

With that in mind, here is a breakdown of the Tide’s current roster situation as of April 10.


DEPARTURES: James ā€œBeetleā€ Bolden, Raymond Hawkins

Alabama only had one senior during the 2019-20 season, and that was Bolden, a grad transfer from West Virginia. Bolden provided energy off the bench in his lone year in Tuscaloosa, which was cut short due to the novel coronavirus pandemic. But before the season even started, Oats knew that he had at least one spot to fill with Bolden set to exhaust his eligibility.

Hawkins was a late addition to the Tide’s roster, joining the team after Oats was hired as head coach as his first high school signee. However, Hawkins only appeared in three games this past season, seeing the floor in the final minutes of contests. The true freshman chose to enter the NCAA transfer portal on March 13 and will not return to Tuscaloosa in 2020-21.

ENTERED NBA DRAFT: Kira Lewis, John Petty, Herbert Jones

Despite uncertainty surrounding this year’s NBA draft, three Alabama players chose to test the draft waters without hiring agents, which allows them to maintain their college eligibility. During a teleconference with reporters last month, Oats said he was actively recruiting the replacements for Lewis and Petty, while he assumes Jones will return for his senior campaign.

Lewis is considered to be a potential first-round draft pick after two seasons in college, which means he is very likely to eventually hire an agent and remain in the draft. As for Petty and Jones, this is the last chance for them both to submit their names and receive feedback from NBA teams. At this point, Jones is more likely to return to Alabama than Petty.

RETURNING PLAYERS: Jaden Shackelford, Javian Davis, Alex Reese, Galin Smith, Jaylen Forbes, Jahvon Quinerly, James Rojas, Juwan Gary

At this point in time, the Crimson Tide will return eight players from last year’s team, including five players that regularly saw the floor. Shackelford shined as a true freshman, Forbes provided depth as a wing and Davis, Reese and Smith were UA’s options in the low post.

Although they are not new commitments, Alabama will essentially add three players to the mix that were unable to play last year due to either injuries or NCAA transfer rules. It was said that Quinerly, a Villanova transfer, was oftentimes the Tide’s best player at practice, and both Rojas and Gary would have given Alabama two more longer wing options than Jones.

COMMITMENTS: Keon Ambrose-Hylton, Joshua Primo, Keon Ellis, Darius Miles, Jordan Bruner


As we already mentioned, the Crimson Tide has the nation’s No. 15 recruiting class for 2020, according to the 247Sports Composite. Ambrose-Hylton has already signed, filling the vacancy left behind by Bolden. Primo committed on March 27, and although he hasn’t yet signed, he fills the Hawkins opening. Should Lewis and Petty remain in the NBA draft, Ellis and Miles have spots on the roster after committing in recent days. Unless Jones stays in the draft, too, there will need to be another departure for Bruner to have room at UA next year.

SO, WHAT’S NEXT?

Barring another addition, Alabama has a couple of options. If all three players carry out the NBA draft process, the Tide will have enough room for all of its current commitments. But if Jones and/or Petty withdraw their names, two returning players will need to look elsewhere.

ā€œI told our guys, ā€˜If any of you aren’t comfortable -- some of you weren’t recruited to play this type of style -- we will 100 percent help you get to a better spot, if that’s what you want,ā€™ā€ Oats said last month. ā€œAt this point, none of them made that decision, and we haven’t.

ā€œNow, as we start to get some commits, we’ll have those conversations and they may be a little bit harder conversations as they see different guys committing to us. They may realize that maybe their playing time is going to go down. We’ll have those conversations coming up, but I don’t know who they’ll be. Some of that will be determined by our own players, to be honest with you, and how much they want to compete with some guys that we’re bringing in.ā€
 
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