🏈 Orgeon vs Auburn BCS National Championship Game

Colin

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I actually think for once that the team playing the SEC team has a chance to win this time (last year, Texas was the closest scare i've had coming into the game but I still knew that there wasn't a great chance for Texas to win). I've been watching some highlights of the Orgeon ducks on youtube and if this team loses to Auburn I don't think it will be a stomp down 64 - 13 kind of game. They have some weapons and they seem to make good adjustments, and they're not the flashiest team, as you would expect from a PAC-10 team.

But most of the people on this board know a little bit more about the x's and o's than I do, what do you guys think?
 
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I 100% agree, if Auburn wins it'll be close-- if you didnt already expect that already with the way that Auburn wins every game. Auburn also tends to start slow (subtracting out the SEC championship game when they played a team that was clearly very very unprepared) therefore I think Oregon jumps on Auburn and they will just wear out Auburn's Defense, I dont care how big or how many cheap shots Fairley wants to take, Oregon is the fastest offense in the game, they will wear him down. And then Oregon will have to hang on, and I think they will be better at playing 60 minutes than Bama was.
In addition, if a team has a month to prepare for one player and still can't stop him, they just don't deserve to win the game. I'm predicting a 10 or so point game with both teams being in the 40s and 50s range and Oregon winning.
 
My only thing is Oregon will have to use the QB sneak very sparingly, or just do it anyway and punch em in the mouth with it. They do it a lot, but Auburn uses a lot of the same plays over and over as well so it's the same playing field.
 
I keep looking at Oregon's 49 points per game against lesser competition and their 48-13 dismantling of Tennessee. Couple that with the arrogance and extra attention that the heisman will produce, and I feel Oregon has a real shot.
Oregon gave up some significant points against ranked teams, but none of them were running a spread attack. Oregon runs a similar offense to Auburn, which should give their defense a good look.
Other teams that Auburn played this year that ran a similar offense, were Clemson and Miss State. Miss State held them to 17 points and Clemson held them to 27.

I think if everyone keeps counting Oregon out and worshipping Auburn in the media, Oregon has a real shot.
 
Oregon has played consistently for four quarters all year - with the exception of one game.

Auburn played for four quarters just once - in the SECC game.

I think if it's close - Auburn wins. 30 something to 30 something.

If LaMichael James has a big day running the ball - Oregon will win 40 something to 20 something.
 
I read somewhere earlier in the season that Oregons biggest d-lineman was 268 lbs. Thats only a few steak dinners more than Newton weighs. Newton, the boog line, and company keep Oregon's defense on the field. Oregon's offense has not experienced a pass rush, a run stop, or caliber oppponent as AU (they have only beaten one AP Top 20 ranked team if memory serves). I can't really say that Oregon is a better team than SCe at this point.

However, emotional play by Oregon keeps it close for the first quarter to quarter -1/2.

Upside: AU wins and the SEC gets even more money and even better recruiting.

Upside: AU loses and we make fun of them for being the first SEC team to lose a BCS Championship. (I do hope they win because of the sheer good it does for the conference)
 
The Barn has been stout against the run pretty much all season. Where they fail is in the passing game. They do get a great push from their front 4 but coverage skills are seriously lacking. I think for Oregon to win, they must run the fly sweeps with wrs and the "old buck sweeps" with James in an attempt to make those front 4 beg for a breather. If they have some success on the ground, they will hang 50+ on the Barn. I don't know if Oregon's D can get 4-5 stops in the entire game to give them a chance though. The over/under is 74 and I would take the over in this one if I were a betting man.
 
The Barn has been stout against the run pretty much all season. Where they fail is in the passing game. They do get a great push from their front 4 but coverage skills are seriously lacking. I think for Oregon to win, they must run the fly sweeps with wrs and the "old buck sweeps" with James in an attempt to make those front 4 beg for a breather. If they have some success on the ground, they will hang 50+ on the Barn. I don't know if Oregon's D can get 4-5 stops in the entire game to give them a chance though. The over/under is 74 and I would take the over in this one if I were a betting man.
Oregon hangs 55 on the barn,gets 3 turnovers, and holds the barners to 24.
 
Now that Newton has won the Heisman, the Ducks have to be smiling as, statistically (don't know the exact numbers, but..) more often than not, the team with the Heisman winner generally loses the bowl game. Of course Mark Ingram and Bama were an exception. Not sure if you'd call it a Heisman curse, but... it's definitely been a prominent omen in years past.
 
Just a slightly random comment regarding Auburn and NCs: do you think its at all a coincidence that in the over 110 years that the Barn has played college football the two times they have been in the national championship picture (as in, the best team in the nation, ranked number 1-- the 2004 fluke is a moot point and they can stop whining.), 1957 and 2010, they were under investigation/ already on on probation for paying players? (Everyone does know that in 1957 they didn't even play a bowl game b/c they were already on probation?) Whoever said Auburn doesn't have tradition...
 
I think if Auburn is within three scores at the half, they come back and beat Oregon. Sound familiar?

Except Oregon has played their best football in the second half all season long, including the 9 and a half minute drive in the close game against Cal.

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