| FTBL Nick Saban says only 1 Alabama player received a top-15 draft grade from NFL scouts

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Just as an aside...What tha?!?


Nick Saban says only 1 Alabama player received a top-15 draft grade from NFL scoutsAdam Spencer | 1 hour ago
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Alabama could have as many as 10 first-round picks in the 2020 NFL Draft. That’s highly unlikely, of course, but guys like QB Tua Tagovailoa, RB Najee Harris, WRs Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs III and DeVonta Smith, OL Alex Leatherwood and Jedrick Wills Jr. and defenders Xavier McKinney, Trevon Diggs, Terrell Lewis, Raekwon Davis, Dylan Moses and Anfernee Jennings have all drawn first-round buzz in recent weeks.

However, some of those guys might return to school and some might not be Round 1 picks.

In fact, during his radio show on Monday evening, Saban said only Tagovailoa got a top-15 draft grade from NFL scouts:


It seems strange that a guy like Jeudy, who many consider a top-5 pick, didn’t get a similar grade. However, that’s what Saban said.

It seems likely that a number of those players mentioned above will go in the first round, but we’ll have to see who plays well in the bowl game, the NFL combine and beyond.
 
Remember two things when you talk about draft grades. Teams can only request 5 at max so some players, like Jeudy, may not ask for theirs as they already know they will go high or that they are going to go or stay no matter what. Grade is not released to the world to check and see how accurate it is and by their own information the best they can do is say that 85% of players who get a 1st or 2nd round grade go by the end of the second round.

Since 2010, 85 percent of student-athletes who received a first- or second-round evaluation and declared for the Draft have been selected in the first two rounds.

By their own admission, in 2016 and 2017 a total of 80 players who were told to not go into the draft did anyway. Out of those 80, 2 went first round and 6 went second round.

So, with that, we see that were completely wrong on 10% of their stays that went anyway and we have no idea how close their actual grades are but 15% are off by at least 1 round (first and second rounders who were drafted in the third or later) and that could be really bad since we don't know how many first round players dropped to second in this as they count in the 85%.

 
The NFL College Advisory Committee only gives the following, first round, second round, and neither. So this didn't come from there.

Perhaps he's just talking to scouts? If you recall from the Art of Coaching documentary, he mentioned many NFL coaches never call him to inquire about his players.

Who knows what this is about...
 
If you go back and read.....this was kind of encompassing folks sitting out as opposed to playing in the bowl game.

I think he was referring to the guys not playing in the bowl game. Of those, only 1 has a top 15 grade, of course, that is Tua.
 
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