šŸ“” Here Are The Toughest Stretches For Each Team Next Season - Forbes

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LSU will face the SEC’s toughest schedule this season, and the degree of difficulty will not exactly plummet when the Tigers take the field in 2019. Adding one of the SEC’s premier non-conference games of the season – a Sept. 7 trip to face Texas and coach Tom Herman, who left LSU at the alter after the 2016 season – to its typically grueling conference schedule means LSU will again face one of the league’s more challenging slates.

The conference officially released its full 2019 schedule on Tuesday, giving us nearly a year to circle the key games and most interesting non-conference matchups (Auburn-Oregon in Dallas! Florida-Miami in Orlando! Notre Dame’s first-ever visit to Georgia! Texas A&M’s return game at Clemson!), and to debate the most difficult stretches for each team.

What better time to start that conversation than now? Obviously changes to coaching staffs and rosters can alter these projections, but here is a way-too-early glance at the most challenging four-game stretches for each SEC team and a list of each school’s non-conference games:

ALABAMA

Toughest stretch:
The 2019 schedule is pretty typical by Alabama’s standards – which is to say it’s not especially challenging. Absent next season is even the potentially difficult neutral-site opener that kicks off most seasons for the Crimson Tide. Instead of an opening opponent the caliber of Michigan, Wisconsin, USC or Virginia Tech, the Tide will face Duke on Aug. 31 in Atlanta. That said, Alabama’s November will be characteristically tough. A week after its Nov. 9 fistfight with LSU, Alabama will visit Mississippi State. It will wrap up the regular season with a Nov. 23 game against Western Carolina and a Nov. 30 visit to rival Auburn.

Non-conference schedule: Aug. 31 Duke (Atlanta), Sept. 7 New Mexico State, Sept. 21 Southern Miss, Nov. 23 Western Carolina
 
Instead of an opening opponent the caliber of Michigan, Wisconsin, USC or Virginia Tech, the Tide will face Duke on Aug. 31 in Atlanta.
:ROFLMAO: :rolleyes: :ROFLMAO:

The caliber of...OKAY.

Michigan who lost to Bama by 27.
Wisconsin who lost to Bama by 18.
USC who lost to Bama by 46.
Virginia Tech who lost to Bama by 25.

You do the math. What's that amount to...average margin of victory in the 40's but Duke isn't of the same caliber?

I love this comparison:
 
@TerryP ...
I-am going to give it to you Terry.....you are the champion of this opening game with Duke.....you have defended...spoke highly of....and shown excellent metrics for this game..... i tip my hat to you...in all sincerity.....
I don’t know why...but you have.... Roll Tide
 
@50+yeartidefan You're interpretation of my thoughts on this game are a bit skewed.

With no doubt I believe Bama is facing a better coach with Cutcliffe than we've seen in many of the other openers. I'd quickly rank his football IQ higher than that of a guy like Harbaugh. Or, for that matter, Holgerson. I don't believe Clay Helton is close to his caliber.

When it comes to talent, you'd have to put a Michigan or a USC higher than than Duke. But that leaves this question: Is it talent, coaching, or a combination of both that defines a solid opening opponent? When it comes to scheming against the Tide, and having the opening stretch of games be used as learning/teaching tools, I'll take coaching every time.

With no doubt I've said that those blaming UA for Duke being on the schedule are wrong. It wasn't their decision.
 
Maybe their is another side other than coaching/talent and it is called historical perceptions. Pretty sure that is why USC/Michigan and others are viewed more favorably than Duke. More fan interest etc....
 
@50+yeartidefan You're interpretation of my thoughts on this game are a bit skewed.

With no doubt I believe Bama is facing a better coach with Cutcliffe than we've seen in many of the other openers. I'd quickly rank his football IQ higher than that of a guy like Harbaugh. Or, for that matter, Holgerson. I don't believe Clay Helton is close to his caliber.

When it comes to talent, you'd have to put a Michigan or a USC higher than than Duke. But that leaves this question: Is it talent, coaching, or a combination of both that defines a solid opening opponent? When it comes to scheming against the Tide, and having the opening stretch of games be used as learning/teaching tools, I'll take coaching every time.

With no doubt I've said that those blaming UA for Duke being on the schedule are wrong. It wasn't their decision.


The last time Duke was on an Alabama schedule so was Penn State. What was coach Saban and Mal Moore trying to tell us? :devilish:
 
No, but Penn State was. And guess where he was willing to put the home and home? Would he have added Penn State if we already had USC, Michigan or even a Wisconsin on the schedule that year? That's rhetorical.

Are you trying to rewrite history in hopes of a debate of some sort?

Saban had nothing to do with when Penn State fell on the schedule. It happened before he arrived in Tuscaloosa because UA rescheduled the series from 2004-05. That postponement, at UA's request, came on the heels of the NCAA sanctions and was announced in the summer of 2003 when he was still in Baton Rouge.

it had been on the books for a few years at that point. To be honest, I couldn't tell you if the series was scheduled under Coach Moore. It easily could have been Bockrath.
 
@TerryP .....
I don’t think my interpretation of your interpretation of the game is skewed....
You just defend the matchup....and i agree with some of it...David Cutcliff is a better HC than...probably...any neutral site matchup HCs we have played...except maybe FSU... Attendance will be shitty... will be talked down... even ucf would have been better...even though they arent as good...
We are lucky..in my opinion....that Tennessee was so STUPID by not hiring him...
And I understand he was willing...but had some assistants he wanted to bring and AD at TN...said NO...
I just dont think Duke has the favorable value ..Nationally.. the others had...and probably will give Bama a better game than those others.....( couldnt be worse than some)....
 
Are you trying to rewrite history in hopes of a debate of some sort?

Saban had nothing to do with when Penn State fell on the schedule. It happened before he arrived in Tuscaloosa because UA rescheduled the series from 2004-05. That postponement, at UA's request, came on the heels of the NCAA sanctions and was announced in the summer of 2003 when he was still in Baton Rouge.

it had been on the books for a few years at that point. To be honest, I couldn't tell you if the series was scheduled under Coach Moore. It easily could have been Bockrath.

Furthermore, the game at Duke was not originally scheduled as an away game. The agreement was to play it at a neutral site agreeable to both parties. However, Bama didn't get it in writing, and when Cutcliffe came in 2008 he insisted it be played at Duke. Bama had no recourse but to play or buy out. IMO, they should have bought out but that is another story.
 
Are you trying to rewrite history in hopes of a debate of some sort?


No, I'm trying to remember another time during the Saban era when he was OK with playing 2 power 5 OOC games in the same season. Can you think of another? Mal Moore did reschedule Penn State in 2005 because of the Tide weakened condition during probation. Saban has also been so bold as to cancel some OOC games with power 5 teams for his own reasons. He obviously didn't feel the need to do any of that with Duke. It's the only year Saban allowed 2 OOC power 5 teams on the schedule. Now Terry, who do you know that controls a schedule better than coach Saban?

Given that we scored 61 points on the dukies at their place, playing them didn't and shouldn't strike the same fear as our games with Michigan, USC, Clemson. They were ranked and had pedigrees, in short, they were historically not Duke. The idea that we beat down a lot of these teams is just a compliment to our football program at the time. The press and the fans were super excited to see Bama play a lot of these games in real time. A lot of the press felt like a lot of our openers had the same feel as covering a bowl game. They were right, we were the talk of college football on the opening weekend.

And frankly, neutral site games for Bama fans is getting old fast. So not having a sexy power 5 team to play is going to be a lot more challenging. Let's see what the value of a game ticket is going for this Labor Day weekend?
 
No, I'm trying to remember another time during the Saban era when he was OK with playing 2 power 5 OOC games in the same season. Can you think of another? Mal Moore did reschedule Penn State in 2005 because of the Tide weakened condition during probation. Saban has also been so bold as to cancel some OOC games with power 5 teams for his own reasons. He obviously didn't feel the need to do any of that with Duke. It's the only year Saban allowed 2 OOC power 5 teams on the schedule. Now Terry, who do you know that controls a schedule better than coach Saban?

Given that we scored 61 points on the dukies at their place, playing them didn't and shouldn't strike the same fear as our games with Michigan, USC, Clemson. They were ranked and had pedigrees, in short, they were historically not Duke. The idea that we beat down a lot of these teams is just a compliment to our football program at the time. The press and the fans were super excited to see Bama play a lot of these games in real time. A lot of the press felt like a lot of our openers had the same feel as covering a bowl game. They were right, we were the talk of college football on the opening weekend.

And frankly, neutral site games for Bama fans is getting old fast. So not having a sexy power 5 team to play is going to be a lot more challenging. Let's see what the value of a game ticket is going for this Labor Day weekend?

Value of game ticket...great question....
I did make it to a lot of games in Atlanta....
WVU and Va Tech.....way upper deck....lot of excitement...
FSU.....low uppers....40 yard line....good tickets...
Well, something came up...couldnt make game....sold for $850 ...
Bet i dont get 850 for my duke tickets.....lol
 
No, I'm trying to remember another time during the Saban era when he was OK with playing 2 power 5 OOC games in the same season. Can you think of another? Mal Moore did reschedule Penn State in 2005 because of the Tide weakened condition during probation. Saban has also been so bold as to cancel some OOC games with power 5 teams for his own reasons. He obviously didn't feel the need to do any of that with Duke. It's the only year Saban allowed 2 OOC power 5 teams on the schedule. Now Terry, who do you know that controls a schedule better than coach Saban?
It's been his "ideal schedule* to play one P5 along with the three smaller schools from day one in this current format. Saying he was "okay with playing two OOC P5 games in 2011" isn't an accurate way to describe that season. Neither is saying "he allowed," Both games were prearranged for that season. There wasn't an "I'm okay with this." It was what it was.

The game with Penn State was postponed/rescheduled in 2003, not 2005.

UA did cancel the series with Michigan State. Saban specifically pointed to the loss of revenue playing that away game in a home and home directly comparing it to the payday's both teams would receive for a neutral site match up.

And, who has more control over the schedule than Saban? At that point in time, it was one Greg Sankey. I can't recall who it is that's in charge of setting SEC schedules now that he's in the commissioner chair.

Given that we scored 61 points on the dukies at their place, playing them didn't and shouldn't strike the same fear as our games with Michigan, USC, Clemson. They were ranked and had pedigrees, in short, they were historically not Duke. The idea that we beat down a lot of these teams is just a compliment to our football program at the time. The press and the fans were super excited to see Bama play a lot of these games in real time. A lot of the press felt like a lot of our openers had the same feel as covering a bowl game. They were right, we were the talk of college football on the opening weekend.

Fear? Really? Is that what you felt? Not I, sir. Not even close. Heck, starting with the opener in '08 with Clemson I said repeatedly, here, that it was a game that would go the Tide's way because their offensive line couldn't protect Cullen Harper, I went on to say they wouldn't be gaining rushing yards with their lauded "thunder and lightening backfield." As I recall, @UAgrad93 and I had some very lengthy discussion breaking down that game and all of them ended with "the Tide, BIG." USC and Michigan weren't any different.

On that note the game with WVU was one of the better ones. I'm not saying that due to the final score, but how the WVU team would attack the Tide. They did a lot through the air and with a young secondary it was a great match up. On the same note, I'm not upset about Duke because I know they'll be facing a soundly coached football team. And that is more than you can say about USC or Michigan when Bama opened with those two.

Fans, and the press, have been excited about games due to the name of the program. It wasn't about what competition would be seen on the field of play. It certainly didn't come into play in 2011 with Michigan as one example. Their 2010 schedule and those 11 wins were in a season where 3/4th's of their opponents were 7-6 or worse. And that puts the competition level on par with Duke: the latter with better coaching in my view.

And frankly, neutral site games for Bama fans is getting old fast. So not having a sexy power 5 team to play is going to be a lot more challenging. Let's see what the value of a game ticket is going for this Labor Day weekend?

This is changing the subject, slightly, but what I see as the reason for scheduling home and home series isn't a result of fans being less enthralled with neutral site games. It has to do with the fund raising campaigns and new Tide Pride seating levels (not to mention the new tax laws.)

A side note: Have you considered what the Atlanta Sports Council was looking at when they scheduled Duke to play Bama? The agreement was SEC and ACC to face each other and Bama took the invitation. As far as the ACC is concerned, the choices were slim.

Boston College vs Va Tech in a conference game. Now they were down to 12 options.
Clemson vs Georgia Tech in a conference game. Now they were down to 10 options.
PItt vs UVA in a conference game. Now they're down to eight.
FSU, Louisville, Miami, and North Carolina are all playing marquee games that weekend. Now look where they were. The only teams left were Duke, NC State, Syracuse, and Wake Forest.

Syracuse is an an agreement with Liberty for 2019 and 2020. So, now they're at three.
NC State and E. Carolina have played each other 25 or more times. The story there is they were already involved in a series with WVU which was announced in 2014. NC State isn't going to schedule two P5 teams in the same season and risk bowl eligibility. Now the council is at two.

I don't know what the story is with Wake Forest and their game with Utah State other than they last faced each other two season ago. There may be an agreement already in place for 2019 for the two. Maybe not.

Bottom line, as Bama fans criticize UA for scheduling Duke...they're wrong. If you choose to criticize the ASC that's your call. But, they were left with two options.

So, I'll close this with a question. Would Wake be a name you'd rather see than Duke? I certainly would not. Duke has a better coaching staff.

...and here we are back at the same point I started with when the discussion of Duke came up...
 
Value of game ticket...great question....
I did make it to a lot of games in Atlanta....
WVU and Va Tech.....way upper deck....lot of excitement...
FSU.....low uppers....40 yard line....good tickets...
Well, something came up...couldnt make game....sold for $850 ...
Bet i dont get 850 for my duke tickets.....lol


Yeah, I was on the Marta express a number of times myself. It has been more than convenient since some of my inlaws live outside the city. Sometimes we just make a week of it. Who knows, maybe this is the neutral site game that got coach Saban rethinking the home and home. I know it worked for me.
 
Who knows, maybe this is the neutral site game that got coach Saban rethinking the home and home.
I know. And it's not. On top of that it's as much Greg Byrne if it's not more. The renovation of BDS and along with that the restructuring of location and cost of Tide Pride seating is first and foremost on their minds. There are quite a few displaced fans who aren't willing to shell more money out even with the home and home series featuring better named opponents.

That's the very point I was making earlier when I wrote ...
...the reason for scheduling home and home series isn't a result of fans being less enthralled with neutral site games. It has to do with the fund raising campaigns and new Tide Pride seating levels (not to mention the new tax laws.)
 
I know. And it's not. On top of that it's as much Greg Byrne if it's not more. The renovation of BDS and along with that the restructuring of location and cost of Tide Pride seating is first and foremost on their minds. There are quite a few displaced fans who aren't willing to shell more money out even with the home and home series featuring better named opponents.


Everyone is concerned with attendance dropping in football, even Bama fans traveling to SEC games has changed:

Data obtained through open records requests shows UA has received 10,500 fewer tickets to away games against its regular home-and-home SEC opponents — Arkansas, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas A&M — in the last two-year cycle than it did in 2013-14, and distributed 11,000 fewer to those teams for their visits to Bryant-Denny Stadium.
In short, the decrease from 2013-14 to 2017-18 for road games against those teams for Alabama has dropped 20.2 percent, and the decrease in tickets allotted to the same opponents for games at UA over the same period is down 20.75 percent. The reduction in ticket allotments reflects a lessened interest on the part of fans to travel.

ā€œThere’s something of a softening of the demand,ā€ said Greg Byrne, Alabama’s athletics director.
The drop in travel for Alabama fans, and for fans of opposing teams for games in Tuscaloosa, mirrors a national shift in attendance.

Home and away

SEC schools allot an agreed-upon number of tickets to conference opponents that visit their stadiums. Alabama plays SEC Western Division opponents Arkansas, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss and Texas A&M each season, with three of those games at home and three on the road. UA also plays Tennessee every year, with each team playing at home on an alternating basis.

A closer look shows that Alabama isn’t getting as many tickets to sell to its fan base. UA has reduced the number of allotted tickets for away games at six of these seven schools since 2013-14. Only the 6,000-ticket allocation for trips to Texas A&M has remained the same. UA has gone from taking 9,500 tickets to games at Auburn and Tennessee to 8,000 and 7,500, respectively, and dropped its number by 1,000 to 6,000 for the trips to LSU.
Likewise, Tennessee and Auburn have reduced their number of tickets for games at Alabama — from 9,500 (2013-14) to 7,500 (2017-18). Ole Miss and Mississippi State have reduced their allotment for away games at UA from 7,000 to 5,000. All seven of Alabama’s regular opponents now receive fewer tickets than they did just a few years ago.
The SEC doesn’t dictate how many tickets each team gets.
ā€œYou have to provide a certain amount of seats on the lower level, behind your bench, is what the rule is,ā€ Byrne said. ā€œI think that’s basically been a school-by-school decision as long as you follow those guidelines.ā€


--
When fans don't show up as before and enthusiasm starts lessening for the product, these ADs and HCs are plenty worried about the future and will respond with change. It isn't just how well Bama fans make their way to Atlanta it's much more the excitement that keeps them coming back to BDS. I do believe Byrne and Saban got that message loud and clear.
 
It's been his "ideal schedule* to play one P5 along with the three smaller schools from day one in this current format. Saying he was "okay with playing two OOC P5 games in 2011" isn't an accurate way to describe that season. Neither is saying "he allowed," Both games were prearranged for that season. There wasn't an "I'm okay with this." It was what it was.

In May 2010, Alabama and GaTech agree to postpone the 2013 and 2014 home and home. In 2013, Alabama cancels the home and home with Michigan State for the 16-17 seasons. If Bama felt that Duke and Penn State posed a risk to whatever plans Bama had for another national championship run in 2010, coach Saban would have done something about it. He did any other time.

UA did cancel the series with Michigan State. Saban specifically pointed to the loss of revenue playing that away game in a home and home directly comparing it to the payday's both teams would receive for a neutral site match up.


Then why not just crawfish out of the Duke game for the exact same reasons. Not only was Duke an away game, but the stadium also holds only 40,00 people. If you cancel the East Lansing trip cause there is no money in it, you definitely weren't making any in Durham. Truth is, the B1G went to 9 conference games in 2016 and the SEC looked for a while like they might be leaning that way. That is pretty much all there was to it.


This is changing the subject, slightly, but what I see as the reason for scheduling home and home series isn't a result of fans being less enthralled with neutral site games. It has to do with the fund raising campaigns and new Tide Pride seating levels (not to mention the new tax laws.)

How is Bama going to make any money in Austin and South Bend, and Morgantown?


A side note: Have you considered what the Atlanta Sports Council was looking at when they scheduled Duke to play Bama? The agreement was SEC and ACC to face each other and Bama took the invitation. As far as the ACC is concerned, the choices were slim.


If the best the Atlanta Sports Council can do is put perennial national champion Alabama against a middle of the road ACC team as some opening day college football extravaganza, they should be ashamed of themselves. People in Tuscaloosa didn't have to do this, they should also be ashamed of themselves as well.
 
Everyone is concerned with attendance dropping in football, even Bama fans traveling to SEC games has changed:

Data obtained through open records requests shows UA has received 10,500 fewer tickets to away games against its regular home-and-home SEC opponents — Arkansas, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas A&M — in the last two-year cycle than it did in 2013-14, and distributed 11,000 fewer to those teams for their visits to Bryant-Denny Stadium.
In short, the decrease from 2013-14 to 2017-18 for road games against those teams for Alabama has dropped 20.2 percent, and the decrease in tickets allotted to the same opponents for games at UA over the same period is down 20.75 percent. The reduction in ticket allotments reflects a lessened interest on the part of fans to travel.

ā€œThere’s something of a softening of the demand,ā€ said Greg Byrne, Alabama’s athletics director.
The drop in travel for Alabama fans, and for fans of opposing teams for games in Tuscaloosa, mirrors a national shift in attendance.

Home and away

SEC schools allot an agreed-upon number of tickets to conference opponents that visit their stadiums. Alabama plays SEC Western Division opponents Arkansas, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss and Texas A&M each season, with three of those games at home and three on the road. UA also plays Tennessee every year, with each team playing at home on an alternating basis.

A closer look shows that Alabama isn’t getting as many tickets to sell to its fan base. UA has reduced the number of allotted tickets for away games at six of these seven schools since 2013-14. Only the 6,000-ticket allocation for trips to Texas A&M has remained the same. UA has gone from taking 9,500 tickets to games at Auburn and Tennessee to 8,000 and 7,500, respectively, and dropped its number by 1,000 to 6,000 for the trips to LSU.
Likewise, Tennessee and Auburn have reduced their number of tickets for games at Alabama — from 9,500 (2013-14) to 7,500 (2017-18). Ole Miss and Mississippi State have reduced their allotment for away games at UA from 7,000 to 5,000. All seven of Alabama’s regular opponents now receive fewer tickets than they did just a few years ago.
The SEC doesn’t dictate how many tickets each team gets.
ā€œYou have to provide a certain amount of seats on the lower level, behind your bench, is what the rule is,ā€ Byrne said. ā€œI think that’s basically been a school-by-school decision as long as you follow those guidelines.ā€


--
When fans don't show up as before and enthusiasm starts lessening for the product, these ADs and HCs are plenty worried about the future and will respond with change. It isn't just how well Bama fans make their way to Atlanta it's much more the excitement that keeps them coming back to BDS. I do believe Byrne and Saban got that message loud and clear.
What you're quoting here is outdated.

It's right in the sense that the ticket office in Bama has received fewer tickets the last few years from conference opponents. It wasn't a decision made by UA. However, UA has responded by reducing the number of tickets they are allotting visiting schools to 5000. The unintended consequence—and I use the term unintended loosely because I don't see a possibility they didn't see this coming—is we're going to see fewer tickets available when they offer "single game package(s)."

Here's where I'm left shaking my head a bit.

Here we are in the middle of a fund raising campaign. In the past, one of the reason you'd donate more for Tide Pride are the chances you'll get more road tickets. Pay more money, you move up the list and get an earlier offer to get visiting tickets to Neyland, et. al.

It's a cursory observation, but one that can be described as "we need more money for Tide Pride, but we're eliminating one of the ways we got money from Tide Pride--away game demand."
 
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