🏈 Espns computer poll

[50+yeartidefan]

What a joke their computer must be playing
The write up said this was after weekends games ( looks likemore before)

 

[rocknthefreeworld]

Garbage In, Garbage Out. It is all in what data you feed the program and how it uses it. It obviously weighs some factors differently than it should. The fact that Clemson is that far ahead of ND makes little sense

 

[50+yeartidefan]

Garbage In, Garbage Out. It is all in what data you feed the program and how it uses it. It obviously weighs some factors differently than it should. The fact that Clemson is that far ahead of ND makes little sense

How bout lsu top 25?

 

[rocknthefreeworld]

How bout lsu top 25?

I honestly didn't even make it that far. Oklahoma at 5 was enough to stop me from going much further.

 

[planomateo]

Post up the link, perhaps this was an old one.

 

[TerryP]

@planomateo He's referencing FPI.

This is ESPN's FPI: (Football Power Index.)

How accurate is this data?

 

[TerryP]

2020 Season Totals
Through 2020-11-29

Rank​	System​	Pct. Correct​	Against Spread​	Absolute Error​	Bias​	Mean Square Error​	games​	suw​	sul​	atsw​	atsl​
1​	Stephen Kerns​	0.78636​	0.48826​	13.3144​	1.0820​	280.856​	220​	173​	47​	104​	109​
2​	Donchess Inference​	0.75194​	0.51989​	13.0238​	1.4258​	263.313​	387​	291​	96​	196​	181​
3​	Dunkel Index​	0.75000​	0.48677​	13.6608​	2.1004​	287.141​	384​	288​	96​	184​	194​
4​	ESPN FPI​	0.74815​	0.51005​	12.9985​	1.0128​	257.757​	405​	303​	102​	203​	195​
5​	System Median​	0.74201​	0.50505​	13.0946​	1.1963​	266.382​	407​	302​	105​	200​	196​
6​	Massey Consensus​	0.74074​	0.51378​	13.2601​	1.7347​	278.993​	405​	300​	105​	205​	194​
7​	Talisman Red​	0.74020​	0.49000​	13.9459​	0.6804​	299.628​	204​	151​	53​	98​	102​
8​	David Harville​	0.73956​	0.51870​	13.2293​	1.3537​	273.149​	407​	301​	106​	208​	193​
9​	Born Power Index​	0.73956​	0.47880​	13.9170​	2.2338​	306.716​	407​	301​	106​	192​	209​
10​	TeamRankings.com​	0.73892​	0.50765​	13.1037​	1.1446​	263.528​	406​	300​	106​	199​	193​
11​	Line (Midweek)​	0.73710​	​	12.8354​	0.5430​	253.806​	407​	300​	107​	​	​
12​	FEI Projections​	0.73645​	0.52525​	13.2866​	1.3363​	281.610​	406​	299​	107​	208​	188​
13​	Keeper​	0.73600​	0.47411​	13.7118​	0.7583​	285.943​	375​	276​	99​	174​	193​
14​	Line (updated)​	0.73464​	0.47150​	12.8489​	0.4459​	252.721​	407​	299​	108​	91​	102​
15​	Dokter Entropy​	0.73333​	0.50882​	13.0878​	1.5344​	269.014​	405​	297​	108​	202​	195​
16​	System Average​	0.73219​	0.48379​	13.1128​	1.2102​	266.497​	407​	298​	109​	194​	207​
17​	Computer Adjusted Line​	0.73219​	0.51163​	12.8440​	0.5541​	252.043​	407​	298​	109​	132​	126​
18​	Beck Elo​	0.73219​	0.49377​	13.6258​	2.0462​	287.267​	407​	298​	109​	198​	203​
19​	PerformanZ Ratings​	0.73219​	0.52120​	13.6584​	1.4475​	296.664​	407​	298​	109​	209​	192​
20​	ARGH Power Ratings​	0.73020​	0.55440​	13.2630​	1.2395​	276.418​	404​	295​	109​	214​	172​
21​	Versus Sports Simulator​	0.72569​	0.49239​	13.3629​	1.5377​	278.443​	401​	291​	110​	194​	200​
22​	Roundtable​	0.72308​	0.48207​	14.6885​	1.0346​	357.884​	260​	188​	72​	121​	130​
23​	Catherwood Ratings​	0.71990​	0.50000​	13.8943​	3.0934​	306.456​	407​	293​	114​	196​	196​
24​	Sagarin Ratings​	0.71990​	0.48500​	14.0088​	0.5096​	300.779​	407​	293​	114​	194​	206​
25​	Moore Power Ratings​	0.71852​	0.48872​	13.8480​	0.7457​	290.096​	405​	291​	114​	195​	204​
26​	PI-Rate Bias​	0.71744​	0.51899​	13.2280​	0.5111​	268.719​	407​	292​	115​	205​	190​
27​	Sagarin Points​	0.71499​	0.49127​	14.1130​	0.4874​	306.917​	407​	291​	116​	197​	204​
28​	Sagarin Recent​	0.71499​	0.48628​	14.3603​	0.6116​	312.610​	407​	291​	116​	195​	206​
29​	Pi-Rate Ratings​	0.71499​	0.53535​	13.2000​	0.4610​	269.101​	407​	291​	116​	212​	184​
30​	Super List​	0.71358​	0.47619​	14.6349​	2.0333​	325.660​	405​	289​	116​	190​	209​
31​	Howell​	0.71250​	0.54427​	13.2774​	0.7876​	275.233​	400​	285​	115​	209​	175​
32​	Daniel Curry Index​	0.71111​	0.47870​	15.0413​	1.1443​	369.354​	405​	288​	117​	191​	208​
33​	Stat Fox​	0.71007​	0.51414​	13.8281​	3.0273​	300.853​	407​	289​	118​	200​	189​
34​	ThePowerRank.com​	0.70886​	0.49612​	13.5529​	-0.2840​	283.082​	395​	280​	115​	192​	195​
35​	Massey Ratings​	0.70574​	0.48861​	13.7706​	0.6250​	296.198​	401​	283​	118​	193​	202​
36​	Laz Index​	0.70516​	0.50623​	13.6021​	1.6159​	283.465​	407​	287​	120​	203​	198​
37​	Edward Kambour​	0.70516​	0.47132​	13.9333​	1.2897​	299.011​	407​	287​	120​	189​	212​
38​	Sagarin Golden Mean​	0.70516​	0.48379​	13.9751​	0.4389​	300.774​	407​	287​	120​	194​	207​
39​	Pi-Ratings Mean​	0.70270​	0.53652​	13.1314​	0.3565​	264.986​	407​	286​	121​	213​	184​
40​	Line (opening)​	0.69533​	0.50289​	13.3784​	0.8722​	279.485​	407​	283​	124​	174​	172​
41​	Cleanup Hitter​	0.68828​	0.47792​	14.8193​	1.0837​	339.377​	401​	276​	125​	184​	201​
42​	Dave Congrove​	0.68473​	0.50250​	14.4861​	1.4326​	328.460​	406​	278​	128​	201​	199​
43​	Loudsound.org​	0.65995​	0.52231​	15.6675​	-2.9673​	394.310​	397​	262​	135​	199​	182​

* This system does not make predictions. I make predictions for this
system by translating it to a new scale that allows for making predictions.



Retrodictive records are found by taking the ratings from the current week
and applying them to the entire season to date.

The ideal system would be one that has the highest correct game decisions,
has the smallest mean error(deviation from the actual game result), and has
a bias of zero.

Mean Error = average[abs(prediction-actual)]

Bias = agerage(prediction - actual)

Std. = Standard Deviation of individual game biases

 

[BAMAneck]

But kirk said notre dame was the best team in college.

 

[planomateo]

Important to understand what it is then.

FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is.

This has nothing to do with what Kirk says about Notre Dame.

 

[50+yeartidefan]

@planomateo He's referencing FPI.

This is ESPN's FPI: (Football Power Index.)

How accurate is this data?

View attachment 15941

@planomateo

thats not what it said it was...but probably what it is....

 

[TerryP]

@planomateo

thats not what it said it was...but probably what it is....

ESPN's Computer Rankings are ESPN's Football Power Index.

 

[50+yeartidefan]

ESPN's Computer Rankings are ESPN's Football Power Index.

never to old to learn something
Thanks
Still. Hard to figure some of the placements though

 

[TerryP]

Hard to figure some of the placements though

An inside look at College FPI

ESPN's Sports Analytics Team provides all the info you need to know about what goes into the College Football Power Index ahead of the 2016 season.

www.espn.com