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Auburn is the favorite to win every game this season except the Iron Bowl, but the Tigers have only the fourth-best odds of winning the SEC title for a second straight season. This according to the preseason projections that ESPNās Stats and Information team released on Tuesday.
SEC win projections
ESPN Stats and Information's projected 2014 wins for each SEC team:
TeamOdds
Alabama9.9
Auburn9.2
Georgia9.1
South Carolina8.9
Mississippi State8.5
Texas A&M8.3
LSU8.0
Ole Miss7.7
Florida7.6
Missouri7.0
Kentucky5.5
Tennessee5.4
Vanderbilt4.9
Arkansas4.9
Using its preseason Football Power Index as a guide, the Stats and Information groupās projections covered a wide range of categories including likelihood of going undefeated, odds of winning conference and division titles, likelihood of winning individual games and projected win totals.
The data showed Florida State as a heavy favorite to repeat as the national champion, with the Seminoles having a 40 percent chance of going undefeated and at least an 87 percent chance of winning each of its games. The next-closest team, Oregon, has a 13 percent chance of going undefeated.
At the other end of the spectrum, Kansas (projection of 3.3 wins), Purdue (3.6), Wake Forest (3.6) and California (3.8) are the teams from the Big Five conferences that are projected to win the fewest games.
The projections covered every FBS program, but weāre here to discuss the SEC, where -- surprise, surprise -- Alabama is the favorite to hoist the conference championship trophy in Atlanta. Nick Sabanās Crimson Tide has a 23 percent chance to win the conference title according to ESPNās projections, leading South Carolina (17 percent), Georgia (17) and Auburn (16), which was certainly a much bigger underdog at this point a season ago.
Obviously Gus Malzahn's 2013 club proved that things can change a great deal between July and December -- and the Stats and Information groupās projections will be updated throughout the season -- but hereās where each SEC team sits for now, a little less than a month away from the start of preseason practice.
Alabama: The Crimson Tide is projected to win 9.9 games and has a 4 percent chance of going undefeated. In addition to its 22.6 percent chance of winning the SEC, Alabama has a 38 percent chance of winning the SEC West. Alabama is the favorite in every game and has at least a 64.5 percent chance of winning all but the LSU (57.5) and Auburn (57.8) games.
ESPN's SEC BlogāContinue reading...
SEC win projections
ESPN Stats and Information's projected 2014 wins for each SEC team:
TeamOdds
Alabama9.9
Auburn9.2
Georgia9.1
South Carolina8.9
Mississippi State8.5
Texas A&M8.3
LSU8.0
Ole Miss7.7
Florida7.6
Missouri7.0
Kentucky5.5
Tennessee5.4
Vanderbilt4.9
Arkansas4.9
Using its preseason Football Power Index as a guide, the Stats and Information groupās projections covered a wide range of categories including likelihood of going undefeated, odds of winning conference and division titles, likelihood of winning individual games and projected win totals.
The data showed Florida State as a heavy favorite to repeat as the national champion, with the Seminoles having a 40 percent chance of going undefeated and at least an 87 percent chance of winning each of its games. The next-closest team, Oregon, has a 13 percent chance of going undefeated.
At the other end of the spectrum, Kansas (projection of 3.3 wins), Purdue (3.6), Wake Forest (3.6) and California (3.8) are the teams from the Big Five conferences that are projected to win the fewest games.
The projections covered every FBS program, but weāre here to discuss the SEC, where -- surprise, surprise -- Alabama is the favorite to hoist the conference championship trophy in Atlanta. Nick Sabanās Crimson Tide has a 23 percent chance to win the conference title according to ESPNās projections, leading South Carolina (17 percent), Georgia (17) and Auburn (16), which was certainly a much bigger underdog at this point a season ago.
Obviously Gus Malzahn's 2013 club proved that things can change a great deal between July and December -- and the Stats and Information groupās projections will be updated throughout the season -- but hereās where each SEC team sits for now, a little less than a month away from the start of preseason practice.
ESPN's SEC BlogāContinue reading...
