I gotta ask. How did you come to the conclusion to take Vandy, on the road at UArk, in this one? Now, Vandy does hold a small metrical lead in wins above the mean/bubble, but it's about a digit (Torvick.) Miya was giving Vandy a few points in his metrics which were null after you figure HCA into the mix.
The MOV shocks me. Vandy being a lot better at home than in Fayetteville? Not so much.