| FTBL Georgia opens as 2 point favorite in CFPNCG

[252BAMA]

Sportsbooks expect 'huge' action for College Football Playoff title game between Georgia Bulldogs, Alabama Crimson Tide​

Georgia was installed as a small favorite over Alabama in a national championship game that bookmakers believe will be the most-heavily bet ever.

The Bulldogs opened as 2-point favorites over the Crimson Tide at Caesars Sportsbook. The SEC rivals will collide Jan. 10, in Indianapolis in the College Football Playoff National Championship presented by AT&T.

Georgia opens as small favorite vs. Bama in finale

The Bulldogs opened as 2-point favorites over the Crimson Tide at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under opened at 51.5. The SEC foes will meet Jan. 10 in Indianapolis.

www.espn.com

 

[T&B]

Oh please let that line grow. I'd love to be a ten point dog.

 

[BamaFan334]

Yes, the best thing we could have hoped for. All I know is we better not get down to their ass again like the last 3 or 4 times we played them. Eventually we ain't coming back. I say we bring a whole new gameplan than what we did for the SEC Championship. Slow this game down and don't allow their revenge minded defense dictate the entire game. Run, run, run, and then test deep. More urgency than we showed today, but I think we knew what we had early and just didn't show much else on purpose.

 

[252BAMA]

01/10 8:00 PM 287 Georgia 288 Alabama

53½u-10 -1 -10

-2½ -15 52½u-10

-3 EV 52u-10

-2½ -10 52½u-10

-2½ -15 52½u-10

-2½ -15 52½u-10

-2½ -10 51½u-10

-2½ -10 52u-10

 

[RollllTide!]

Should be yummy rat poison

 

[RTB Twitter Bot]

 

[rocknthefreeworld]

Everyone is all in for UGA. Hope the team dress that every day.

 

[bamatommy]

How is Georgia favored over Alabama when the Tide whipped the Dawgs four weeks ago?

 

[RollllTide!]

Losing twice in the same year is rare

 

[Crimson&WhiteGecko]

This just fell right into CNS lap.... Some "Yummy" Rat Poison!

 

[bamanc50]

Yes, the best thing we could have hoped for. All I know is we better not get down to their ass again like the last 3 or 4 times we played them. Eventually we ain't coming back. I say we bring a whole new gameplan than what we did for the SEC Championship. Slow this game down and don't allow their revenge minded defense dictate the entire game. Run, run, run, and then test deep. More urgency than we showed today, but I think we knew what we had early and just didn't show much else on purpose.

Sorry to say this but you do know who’s the play caller???? Unless CNS steps in he will run the ball with success between the 20’s and then start passing. O’Brien has a pro football mentality and can’t seem to put that aside. Of course, the O line is a whole other issue.

 

[BamaFan334]

Sorry to say this but you do know who’s the play caller???? Unless CNS steps in he will run the ball with success between the 20’s and then start passing. O’Brien has a pro football mentality and can’t seem to put that aside. Of course, the O line is a whole other issue.

I'm just hoping we throw a curveball. We know who is on the other sideline. We know Georgia has the talent to beat us. I just hope we go with a plan that surprises Kirby and that he can't overcome due to his limitations. It's very hard to beat good teams twice in a year. Just look at LSU and Alabama back in 2011/2012. We had the ability to play legit underdog surprise team last time, but know we will not get that opportunity this time.

 

[1CrimsonTider]

Sorry to say this but you do know who’s the play caller???? Unless CNS steps in he will run the ball with success between the 20’s and then start passing. O’Brien has a pro football mentality and can’t seem to put that aside. Of course, the O line is a whole other issue.

While you may not realize it Bama ran the ball over 60% of the time in the red zone. Two of the passing plays called in the red zone were TD's (40% of the red zone passing plays were touchdowns.)

 

[mando]

Good now the Bama team can continue to focus on that lack of respect. As far as Georgia, they are a really good team and it is simply going to come down to the line of scrimmage as it always does. Two keys to me is 1) Bama punches back and that is not going to change and 2) Nick Saban is on the Bama sideline. This is by far Smarts best most experienced team so if he can't do it this time he may never until Saban retires.

 

[bama alum]

How is Georgia favored over Alabama when the Tide whipped the Dawgs four weeks ago?

Probably just because a college football sweep is hard to accomplish.

B-Rob probably shouldn't have gone here though...

 

[rocknthefreeworld]

Losing twice in the same year is rare

Not really. I did the numbers.

There have been no Conference Championship rematches in the bowls, so we have no numbers to really compare there. Not surprising with the playoffs so new.

There have been a lot of regular season rematches in bowls and the winners of the first game are 7-15 in those.

There were also a lot of rematches from the regular season in the Conference Championships and the winners in the regular season are 32-20 in those.

I did a lot of number crunching and there is no pattern to any of it. Winners by more than 14 are 3-2 in rematches as far as I can find.

So the whole thing about it being hard to beat a team twice is not really as bad as it seems. Overall, I found that the winners in the regular season are 39-35 in rematches either in Conference Championships or Bowls but with a >14 point win they are 3-2. So about 52% with just a win and about 60% with a win of 14 points or more.

We are in uncharted territory though as two Conference Championship opponents have never met before in a bowl.

 

[bamanc50]

While you may not realize it Bama ran the ball over 60% of the time in the red zone. Two of the passing plays called in the red zone were TD's (40% of the red zone passing plays were touchdowns.)

I just look at that as a “luck of the draw” with O’Brien’s play calling. The majority of his play calling is based on “down and distance”. I’ll be the first to admit that I got spoiled with LK & SS play calling. They used a combination of “down and distance” along with “matchups” but “matchups” were an over riding factor. For example. If Bama had the ball on their own 17 yard line and 3rd and one and they saw the right one on one “matchup” 90% of the time they would go over the top. With O’Brien 90% of the time it’s a run. Not saying anyone is wrong. It’s just an opinion.

 

[252BAMA]

I just look at that as a “luck of the draw” with O’Brien’s play calling. The majority of his play calling is based on “down and distance”. I’ll be the first to admit that I got spoiled with LK & SS play calling. They used a combination of “down and distance” along with “matchups” but “matchups” were an over riding factor. For example. If Bama had the ball on their own 17 yard line and 3rd and one and they saw the right one on one “matchup” 90% of the time they would go over the top. With O’Brien 90% of the time it’s a run. Not saying anyone is wrong. It’s just an opinion.

I'm with you. Bama had a couple of 2nd and 7 plays against Cincinnati after several running plays where play action passes would have been at least first downs and probably TDs. Ran the damn ball again on those second downs and failed to move the chains on the third downs. I was so damn mad I could have chewed nails.

 

[1CrimsonTider]

I just look at that as a “luck of the draw” with O’Brien’s play calling.

Then you're looking at it wrong.

Go back to the SECCG. The first touchdown Bama scored had BRob running four times and a pass for a TD. Bryce ran it in for a TD on the second score after a running attempt. Go back to Arkansas where the trend continues. Two runs, a pass for a TD. Two runs, two passes with the last for the score.

Perception isn't reality here.

 

[TerryP]

I'm with you. Bama had a couple of 2nd and 7 plays against Cincinnati after several running plays where play action passes would have been at least first downs and probably TDs. Ran the damn ball again on those second downs and failed to move the chains on the third downs. I was so damn mad I could have chewed nails.

You'll want to go back to the game and look at that again.

Last night they had pretty good success on 2nd and long (7-9 yards.) There were six, maybe seven, of those situations. I'm pretty sure saying there were on two 2nd and 7's, BRob converted one with a long run and they went to third down when Trey was stopped on the other: third quarter in back to back series.