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Timelines always require context of what else is going at the time of those headlines.  It is easy to say you should have known if that is what you want the answer to be or if you have an agenda.  Heck I thought this was being blown out of proportion until about 3 weeks ago.  I have a general disposition of distrust what is being reported by the media and the politics behind it.  I would be one of those slower to act until I had better proof backed with data that I trusted.  There are different personality types that view events and information differently.