| SPRTSBK Betting the totals: Iowa v Illinois at 35 may be the lowest in two years.

the Bookie

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Back in September Akron vs Northern Illinois had the lowest "total" in the last two years at 37. I think it was the Action Network that published that little bit. Another outlet, can't remember who, reported it as the lowest of the century. So, almost a quarter of a century?

Iowa vs Illinois is being posted at 35. That's one of the lowest totals I can recall in my lifetime. Definitely the lowest we've had since we started the 'book here.


Got distracted and had to go look.

Here's what the Action Network said in September:

That makes it the lowest total in college football since 2016 (UConn vs. Tulane, 36.5).

Much of the reason for the line drop is because of the betting activity that has taken place. Fifty-three percent of bets have landed on the under in this game, and those bets are accounting for 68% of the money wagered.

That’s a sign of potential sharp action, as sharps are more likely to be the ones placing bigger bets. But regardless, it shows liability on the under, which is often enough to cause books to adjust lines.

And perhaps bettors have reason to be getting down heavily on the under. The lowest totals since 2005 have often not been set low enough, as games with totals lower than 39 have gone under 57.3% of the time (63-47-2).

The lowest closing total in the BetLabs database was 34 in Missouri-Vanderbilt in 2015. Vandy won 10-3.
Wouldn't you know Vandy would show up?

57% is solid for betting on a trend.

But, you'd also be betting against Bret.
 
The over/under for the Texas Tech-Baylor game grew to as high as 90.5 points on Wednesday in Las Vegas, the highest college football total since at least 1990, according to ESPN Stats & Information.

"It's the highest total ever, to my knowledge, and I've been booking totals forever," said Art Manteris, a 40-year veteran Las Vegas bookmaker and current vice president of Station Casino's sportsbook.
 
And perhaps bettors have reason to be getting down heavily on the under. The lowest totals since 2005 have often not been set low enough, as games with totals lower than 39 have gone under 57.3% of the time (63-47-2).

And the trend continued ... total of 15 in a 9-6 ball game.
 
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